U of F Assessment Tool Could Predict Risk of Cardiovascular Disease, Researchers Say

Jan. 10, 2020
Patients could compute their risk at home and then have it entered into the EHR before the next visit

A new assessment tool developed by University of Florida researchers can predict users’ 10-year risk of heart attack or stroke with just a few patient-inputted responses and no lab tests required, university officials attest.

The tool, called the Easy Cardiovascular Disease (EZ-CVD) Health Risk Assessment, calculates a person’s risk score based on six questions on sex, age, current smoking status, diagnosis of diabetes or high blood pressure, and family history of premature heart attack. The UF team describes the development and validation of the tool in a paper published in the Journal of the American Heart Association.

Importantly, the EZ-CVD doesn’t diagnose cardiovascular disease, researchers acknowledged. Users who score in the high-risk category should share the information with their doctor so they can provide advice or treatment, as necessary.

For its creation, UF researchers set out to develop an accurate tool that was easier for patients to use than the current standard risk score, the Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease, or ASCVD, offered online by the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association. Because the ASCVD requires users to know their current cholesterol and blood pressure levels, adoption has been limited, said lead author Hend Mansoor, Ph.D., Pharm.D., a recent graduate of the health services research Ph.D. program in the UF College of Public Health and Health Professions, part of UF Health.

To create EZ-CVD, Mansoor and her colleagues tested several traditional heart disease risk factors as well as some nontraditional factors that recent research suggests might be associated with future heart attack or stroke. Using data from a study that tracks the long-term heart health of nearly 16,000 participants in four U.S. communities, the UF team pinpointed six risk factors that reliably predicted heart events, including family history of premature heart attack, which is not part of the ASCVD. Next, the researchers compared the predictive performance of the six risk factors that make up the EZ-CVD to the ASCVD. The EZ-CVD performed just as well as the ASCVD, researchers contended.

“By providing patients with a very easy-to-use risk score they can do on their own, we hope to increase the number of at-risk individuals receiving preventive therapy for cardiovascular disease,” Mansoor said.

EZ-CVD also has the potential to greatly improve delivery of care in a timely manner, said senior author Arch G. Mainous III, Ph.D., chair of the UF Department of Health Services Research, Management and Policy.

“To use the ASCVD correctly, if the patient doesn’t have recent cholesterol results the physician would have to order those tests, send the patient to the lab and wait for the results to be able to compute the patient’s risk for a heart attack or stroke. They can’t do it for the patient in that visit,” Mainous added.

Mainous, the Florida Blue endowed chair of health administration, added, “The EZ-CVD could be used by health systems to have patients compute their risk at home several days prior to their next visit and have it inserted into the electronic health record [EHR]. Patients could also complete the EZ-CVD at a kiosk or a tablet computer when they come in for an appointment and have the score available to review with the doctor during the visit.”

Sponsored Recommendations

How Digital Co-Pilots for patients help navigate care journeys to lower costs, increase profits, and improve patient outcomes

Discover how digital care journey platforms act as 'co-pilots' for patients, improving outcomes and reducing costs, while boosting profitability and patient satisfaction in this...

5 Strategies to Enhance Population Health with the ACG System

Explore five key ACG System features designed to amplify your population health program. Learn how to apply insights for targeted, effective care, improve overall health outcomes...

A 4-step plan for denial prevention

Denial prevention is a top priority in today’s revenue cycle. It’s also one area where most organizations fall behind. The good news? The technology and tactics to prevent denials...

Healthcare Industry Predictions 2024 and Beyond

The next five years are all about mastering generative AI — is the healthcare industry ready?